These times of adversity are unique to us all. Being fed a 'tsunami' of confusing opinionated media activity and concerning 'volatile leadership' - and even if a vaccine is invented there are those deeply concerned folk who remind us 'germ theory' has never been proven, let alone the damage caused by vaccines.
Considering we are heading towards a recession this virus is costing an estimated £2.4 Billion per day - it confirms once again without outside help in huge investment & state of the art MMC from overseas how will we be able to correct our housing crisis?
The modules have landed but are they welcome? It's debatable for many reasons based on unit cost, trust, relationships, quality, thermal qualities, trading terms, price, accreditations, delivery, install, perceived image (biggest hurdle), etc - yes it's an extensive list & riddled with risk - but building is all about RISK as you well know.
We have all received a constant wave of sheer benefits and excitement with modular construction. From the media, coupled with construction 'experts' expressing robust opinions & some interesting reports produced, indeed we know of the lack of uptake of modular in the United Kingdom. The reality is despite repetitive facts many of which most already know and some negative assumptions around only approximately 10% of new builds are built using modular of any type, which is shocking considering the huge housing targets set by government. Whilst I am not saying Modular of any type be it 3D Volumetric or Elements or Hybrid is the complete answer to our housing crisis, it will help tremendously (where suited). For example the North of England and other areas will not sustain 3D Volumetric due to unit price, whereas for Student and Hotels it can be incredibly suitable from an IRR perspective down South.
PBC today magazine recently reported due to our housing crisis, skills shortages & lack of affordable homes in the UK that modular has been hailed by many as a possible answer to solve ‘some’ housing challenges. Amongst serious misunderstandings my concern is although there is clearly a role for semi-skilled labour any manufacturing plant will need many highly skilled professionals which require substantial training, therefore serious existing & indeed ongoing investment. Modular doesn't necessarily replace a skills shortage over traditional construction.
The Housing Crisis will not solve itself and certainly by keeping to traditional methods of construction will not help. The infancy of modular construction under the MMC banner compared to traditional site construction makes for many prototype projects, in which the architect, contractor and manufacturer are experiencing their first modular build. It is naturally critical to collaborate with professional installers/delivery partners in, or close to the vicinity, coupled with factory liaison.
The UK is decades behind the curve when it comes to Off-Site Manufacturing but what is more concerning is the financial stability and lack of scaleability of homegrown supply. The overseas is vastly bigger (& growing rapidly) than what is currently a Cottage Industry in the United Kingdom despite many promises and bravado in the trade press. Our housing crisis is not going away and the industry is not adopting modern methods as efficiently as possible, so how do we cure this problem?
The UK is in turmoil, not just politically, but enduring what can be described as an antiquated construction industry - as Mark Farmer's report 'Modern or Die' clearly points out - as he says 'aiming to put everything into perspective'. We have the most impressive buildings, old & new, but the issue is of course deeper in exactly how we build and the implications of what is really an outdated system. Hampered with low productivity, lack of R&D and a shrinking workforce. But the good news is productivity can be enhanced by building in quality controlled factories.
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